Jasper Colin  /  2026 · Wave 1

The Smart
Appliance
Activation Gap

A Continuous Intelligence Program

Consumers bought the smart home. Most never turned it on. This is the first cross-brand research program built to find out why, and to measure it, wave after wave.

See the Method
0%
of owners have never opened the companion app
0%
activate zero smart features after purchase
0
in-depth interviews, 60 minutes each
0
nationally representative survey respondents
01 · The Problem

Better
equipped.
Less used.

The connected home has never been better equipped. It has also never been less used. Manufacturers spent a decade building smart connectivity into refrigerators, ranges, washers and dishwashers. Consumers spent that same decade largely ignoring it.There is no shortage of smart appliances on the market. There is a shortage of proof that anyone is using them, and no independent benchmark that tells a manufacturer how it stacks up against competitors on that single, business-critical question.

0%

of smart appliance owners have never opened the companion app.

0%

estimated to activate zero smart features after purchase.

The industry’s response has been to redesign the app: simplify onboarding, reduce the taps, quiet the notifications. It hasn’t moved the needle. That gap between investment and impact is exactly what this program was built to explain.

02 · The Insight

It’s not a
UX problem.

For years the industry’s answer has been the same: activation is low because the apps are hard to use. Our research points to a different explanation: one grounded in when people act, not just how easy it is to act.A high energy bill. A new baby. A new home. A fridge full of spoiled food. These triggering moments, not app redesigns, are what turn a smart appliance owner into an actual smart appliance user.

Industry Explanation

Low activation is a UX problem.

Apps are too complex, onboarding is cumbersome, notifications are excessive. Fix the interface, fix the gap.

VS
Jasper Colin’s Hypothesis

Friction + no trigger = no activation.

UX friction is real but incomplete. Even a well-designed app won’t get opened without a personal reason to open it.

Four hypotheses guiding the research
H1
The Activation Gap

Most households activate fewer than 40% of available features; an estimated 34% activate none.

H2
The Triggering Event Mechanism

UX friction and personal life context work together; a life event supplies the motivation to push through friction.

H3
Category-Level Divergence

Activation rates and friction points differ meaningfully across refrigerators, cooking, laundry and dishwashers.

H4
The Household Power User Effect

One person typically drives the large majority of activations and shapes the whole household's engagement.

03 · Method

How we
get there.

A two-phase sequential design: qualitative depth first, then quantitative scale, so the survey measures the constructs that actually matter, not just the ones that are easy to ask about.

Phase 01 · Qualitative

In-Depth
Interviews

  • 48 one-on-one conversations, 60 minutes each
  • Never-users, lapsed users & active users
  • 4 appliance categories across the US, UK and India
  • Surfaces the why behind activation behaviour
01
Phase 02 · Quantitative

National
Survey

  • 2,000 respondents, 15–18 minutes
  • Nationally representative, U.S. Census quotas
  • Minimum n=125 per appliance category
  • Validates & sizes IDI findings at national scale
02
04 · Segmentation

Five consumer segments. One household effect.

Not every non-user is the same kind of non-user. The research maps the full spectrum, from zero engagement to full optimisation, and identifies the single household member most likely to drive, or block, adoption for everyone else.

~34%
Reluctant Owners
Bought smart by default. Zero activation. No trigger has arrived yet.
~28%
Setup & Stall
Downloaded, connected, then stalled. High intent, no follow-through moment.
~19%
Trigger Adopters
A life event pushed them through the friction. Now loyal users.
~12%
Ecosystem Builders
Integrate across platforms. Influence the rest of the household.
~7%
Power Optimizers
Driven by efficiency and ROI. Respond to data, not design.

Segment sizes are hypothesis-driven projections, to be validated and nationally sized through primary survey fieldwork.

05 · Category Divergence

Activation isn't the same across categories.

A refrigerator and a dishwasher fail to activate for entirely different psychological reasons. Category-specific friction requires category-specific strategy.

Refrigerator
14–18%
App fatigue; requires sustained habit change
Range / Oven
22–26%
Safety concern about remote activation
Washer
26–32%
Low perceived value of cycle alerts
Dryer
24–30%
Alert fatigue carried over from the washer
Dishwasher
12–16%
“Press and walk away” habit is deeply ingrained
06 · Deliverables

Built for boardrooms, not bookshelves.

Every wave is packaged to be used, not read once and filed away.

01

IDI Topline Report

Key qualitative themes, trigger-event categories and a friction typology from the interview phase.

02

Survey Data Tables

Complete cross-tabulated data by appliance category, demographics and consumer segment.

03

Activation Gap Index Benchmark

Category and feature-level activation rates, plus AGI scores by brand.

04

Consumer Segment Profiles

Validated five-segment profiles with trigger maps and intervention strategies.

05

Messaging Framework

Ranked value-proposition framing, tested for appeal and believability.

06

Thought Leadership Assets

Short-form articles and social hooks, released after the primary-buyer exclusivity window.

07

Full Integrated Report & Executive Deck

Complete synthesis with strategic implications, built to walk into a leadership meeting.

07 · The Program

Built to compound, not expire.

This isn't a one-time report. It's the first wave of a continuous, five-year intelligence program: quarterly pulse tracking, annual deep-dive modules and a live benchmarking dashboard that gets more valuable with every wave.

Year 01
Establishes the benchmark

The first independent, cross-brand baseline for smart appliance activation.

Year 02
Establishes the trend

Direction of travel: what moved, what didn't, and which interventions worked.

Year 03+
Becomes a planning input

Something competitors can't replicate, because they don't have the data.

Future modules extend the same core question into brand perception, in-home behavioural observation and pricing elasticity, so the program grows with the questions the industry hasn’t asked yet.

08 · Who this is for

Three seats at the table.

A

Manufacturers

Benchmark activation against competitors and see exactly where product and platform investment is paying off.

B

Retailers & Platforms

Understand return rates, in-store education gaps and shelf strategy for connected SKUs.

C

Utilities & Insurers

Act on the single biggest activation trigger in the data, the energy bill, with a direct commercial stake in the findings.

09 · Timeline

Sixteen weeks. One definitive benchmark.

Fielding is underway now, across a disciplined sixteen-week program, including a deliberate two-week gap before the national survey launches, to make sure it measures the right constructs.

Week 01–03
Screener approval & IDI recruitment
Week 04–07
In-depth interviews across the US, UK and India
Week 08–09
Deliberate gap: instrument design from IDI constructs
Week 10–13
Quantitative fieldwork, n=2,000
Week 14–16
Integrated analysis & AGI benchmark release
10 · Credentials

Why Jasper Colin.

Five reasons this benchmark can only be built here.

01
Recruitment as moat. A proprietary, pre-profiled panel reaches smart appliance owners that standard panels miss.
02
A 5-component AGI methodology built specifically for this category. No other firm has built one.
03
Tracking compounds value. Benchmark in Year 1, trend in Year 2, switching costs by Year 3.
04
An integrated analytics layer where data deepen every finding.
05
A thought-leadership engine that builds market credibility before the first sales conversation happens.
Wave 1 · Fielding Now

Get the first look at the Activation Gap.

The base study is fielding now. Subscriber access to the full AGI benchmark, segment data and quarterly tracking is limited to early partners.

Founding partner & early-access seats limited by design
Jasper Colin
The Smart Appliance Activation Gap
2026

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The Smart Appliance Activation Gap · Jasper Colin